Of course, I make a number of assumptions here:
1) Romney will take North Carolina, Florida, and Iowa. At this point, I think all of these states could easily go into Obama’s column.
2) Obama will win Virginia. I think this is pretty certain. I think Obama will win New Hampshire as well, although I think that is just as iffy as Romney in Iowa.
I’m basically putting this up to see how well I do on election day. If Obama wins North Carolina, Ohio, or Florida early on Election Day, I’m going to bed.